WTI $105.83 ▲ 4.38% · NG $2.920 ▲ 0.83% · RIGS 591 ▲ 3 · S&P 7,585.73 ▼ 0.45% · XOP $199.70 ▲ 3.22%
 
September 15 close · Gas = Henry Hub Oct 2026 · Rigs = Baker Hughes (week ending September 11, 2026)
$5.7 Billion
of New Fortress debt extinguished at Friday’s close. What is left is about $700 million of corporate debt and a preferred that converts into 87% of the company in 2029
The Meme
The Report
Sunya Research · Updated
23.18 Bcf/d on paper. 4.13 Bcf/d that actually pencils.
65 gas-to-AI deals through August, scored and sourced, then split into the five unlike things the headline number quietly sums. Appalachia carries 5.60 Bcf/d of producer-attributed supply. The Permian carries 2.49.
Open the tracker →
Today’s Menu
$5.7B / 87% — New Fortress closes its restructuring; the preferred is built to take the company
$105.83 / 4–5 MMbbl/d — Yanbu stops loading; WTI closes at a four-month high
3.3x / $3.0B — Forgent books more orders in a quarter than it sold all year
65 MMcfe/d / 0.35 Tcfe — BKV closes a Barnett package without a price
300,000 acres / 75% — Carlyle stands up Avenrock to buy Parallax from Carnelian
$310B / 45 days — EPA repeals most of the 2024 power-plant carbon rule
Lead Story
$5.7B / 87% — New Fortress closes its restructuring; the preferred is built to take the company

Creditors swapped about $5.7 billion of debt for BrazilCo, $2.45 billion of preferred, 65% of the common and $571.3 million of term loans.

The preferred accrues 3%, 5% then 7% and converts in 2029 into 87% of the common. Today’s 35% legacy stake shrinks to about 4.5% unless NFE redeems it at par first.

8-K

The Headlines
Crude
$105.83 / 4–5 MMbbl/d — Yanbu stops loading; WTI closes at a four-month high

Yanbu loadings stopped Tuesday and some European cargoes were canceled, four days after Riyadh shut the 4–5 MMbbl/d East-West line over drone strikes from Iraq.

WTI settled $105.83, its highest close since May 19; Brent $108.75. Wright expects a restart within days; Goldman’s range runs to eight weeks. Aramco has given no date.

 
Power
3.3x / $3.0B — Forgent books more orders in a quarter than it sold all year

Q4 orders of $1.503 billion against $462 million of revenue took backlog to $3.0 billion, up 53% in a quarter. Adjusted EBITDA was $113 million, a 24.4% margin.

FY2027 guidance is $2.4–2.6 billion of revenue and $575–625 million of EBITDA, 76% and 86% midpoint growth. A $35 million Tijuana expansion takes capacity to $5.8 billion.

 
Gas
65 MMcfe/d / 0.35 Tcfe — BKV closes a Barnett package without a price

The assets add more than 65 MMcfe/d, over half liquids, ~0.35 Tcfe of PDP and 117,000 net acres, paid with cash and the revolver. No price, no seller named.

Also a 180 MMcf/d plant, about 340 miles of gas gathering, 225 miles of water lines and two SWDs; the CCS unit captured 100,000-plus tonnes in the year to Q1.

 
Upstream
300,000 acres / 75% — Carlyle stands up Avenrock to buy Parallax from Carnelian

Avenrock, Carlyle’s new vehicle led by Paul Smith, ex-CFO of Wintershall Dea, takes Parallax’s 75% operated stake in ~300,000 gross Duvernay acres. Bloomberg says ~C$1 billion.

NOG agreed in May to pay C$350 million, plus up to C$25 million contingent, for the other 25%: ~75,000 net acres, 500-plus locations and ~4 Mboe/d in 2027.

 
Policy
$310B / 45 days — EPA repeals most of the 2024 power-plant carbon rule

The final rule removes most of the 2024 Section 111 GHG standards, including the CCS-based limits, 60 days after publication. EPA puts the savings at $310 billion.

A separate proposal pulls the endangerment and significant-contribution findings to scrap the remaining power-sector GHG standards. Comments run 45 days; Connecticut’s AG is ready to sue.

Quick Hits
507 MMbbl / 5.97 MMbbl/d — IEA counts the draw; Saudi output fell to 5.97 MMbbl/d Crude
Inventories fell 95 MMbbl in August and 507 MMbbl since February, 2.8 MMbbl/d on average. Supply dropped 1.6 MMbbl/d to 100.1 as Saudi output fell to 5.97 MMbbl/d from 8.24. The 2026 demand call is now a 2.5 MMbbl/d decline.
$10 a month / four years — NextEra and Dominion double Virginia’s bill credits Power
Residential credits run four years instead of two, with the data-center share redirected to households. EnergyShare gets $100 million through 2038; Richmond gets a co-headquarters and 1,000 jobs. Shareholders voted Sept. 3.
1.3 MTPA / 20 years — Sempra and Venture Global sign Gastech-week SPAs LNG
Petrobras takes 0.8 MTPA from Port Arthur Phase 2 for 20 years, Sempra’s first South American buyer. China Gas adds 0.5 MTPA from Venture Global’s portfolio from 2030, taking its total to 2.5 MTPA. (Venture Global)
C$40M / 6,000 bbl/d — Cardinal takes Reford 2 up 41% Oil
Nameplate rises to 6,000 bbl/d from 4,250 for about C$40 million, roughly C$23,000 per incremental flowing barrel. First steam summer 2027, nameplate early Q4 2027; Reford 1 is averaging more than 6,500 bbl/d.
Almost Headlines
$500M / 37.5% — PBF prices 0% exchangeables due 2032 to retire its 7.875% notes Refining
AXM / Q1 2027 — Flex names the Cloud and Power spin-off Axiom and files its Form 10 Data Centers
Waha to El Paso / Sept. 25 — Enbridge runs a non-binding open season for West Texas Express Midstream
Four blocks / 13 compressors — Baker Hughes takes Venture Global’s Plaquemines expansion order LNG
C$36B / 100% — Ottawa makes immediate expensing permanent and puts LNG liquefaction gear at a 100% CCA rate Policy
Vacated / $295M — D.C. Circuit voids DOE’s first Campbell stay-open order; the sixth runs to Nov. 14 Policy
90 days / Dec. 12 — DOE orders Centralia Unit 2 to stay available again Policy
1,011°C / 5 MW — eVinci logs a record reactivity-measurement temperature at NCERC Nuclear
5% / 52-week low — Utilities sell off as the 10-year clears 5%; NRG, Exelon and CMS hit lows Power
~1 MTPA / 10 years — Santos agrees POSCO terms and an HoA for Ksi Lisims LNG LNG
The Reading List
Utility DivePJM faces 2030 reliability crisis if data center load growth continues: report
WSJFirstMark, Chemistry Invest in a Startup Building an Exchange for AI Compute Power
AxiosMass. tries to rein in data centers but leaves open questions
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