August 4, 2026
 
WTI (Sep) $75.77 ▼5.69% · NG (Sep) $2.682 ▼3.56% · RIGS 588 ▲1 · S&P 7,736.52 ▲1.79% · XOP $171.95 ▼1.34%
August 4 close/settlement · Gas = Henry Hub Sep 2026 · Rigs = Baker Hughes (week ending July 31, 2026)
474 GW
Large-load requests in the ERCOT queue — Texas wants proof behind them before another data center moves
The Meme
The Report
New from Sunya Research
21.11 Bcf/d on paper. 4.89 Bcf/d that actually pencils.
We catalogued every disclosed gas-to-AI deal in one ledger — 56 transactions across 17 months — then did the math the press releases skipped. The boom looks Texan in the headlines. It looks Appalachian in the contracts.
Open the tracker →
Today’s Menu
474 GW — Texas audits every data center in the ERCOT queue before any of them move.
$5.5B / 6 Bcf/dWilliams buys Momentum and the Haynesville lane into Gulf Coast LNG.
4 GW / €1.8BTotalEnergies buys Shell’s European renewables, sells KKR half of another book.
1.2 GWNRG finds a hyperscaler willing to pay for its own gas plant.
$3.8B / $95Prysmian buys Atkore and the conduit around the cable.
Lead Story
474 GW — Texas puts the data-center queue under audit

Gov. Greg Abbott directed the PUCT and ERCOT on Aug. 3 to verify and audit every data center in the interconnection process, and the audit must finish before any project moves forward. ERCOT is holding roughly 474 GW of large-load requests — more than five times the grid’s record peak — and about 90% are data centers.

Developers must disclose annual and peak demand, ownership and controlling interests, incentives, onsite generation by fuel type and status, and water use, sources and cooling technology. Projects that fail to comply can be denied interconnection. Nothing here bans data centers in Texas — it puts a price on holding a queue slot. (Texas.gov)

The Headlines
Midstream
$5.5B / 6 Bcf/d — Williams buys the Haynesville-to-LNG lane

Williams will pay up to $5.5B for 100% of Momentum Midstream — about $3.5B of cash and debt plus $2B of equity — at an implied 8.5x projected 2027 EBITDA on mostly fixed-fee cash flows. Momentum adds 4,000-plus miles of pipe, over 1 million dedicated acres, four Haynesville gathering areas at 6 Bcf/d, and three take-or-pay pipelines moving 4.05 Bcf/d to LNG, industrial and power markets.

The $1.5B Delta Access project starts at 2.25 Bcf/d in Q1 2029; Shelby Trough Connector opens at 750 MMcf/d in Q2 2028, expandable to 1.5 Bcf/d. Williams lifted 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $8.3B–$8.5B, plans $7.3B–$7.9B of growth capex and puts pro forma leverage near 3.75x. Hart-Scott-Rodino clearance is outstanding; no closing date given. (Williams)

 
Renewables
4 GW / €1.8B — TotalEnergies takes Shell’s European renewables

TotalEnergies is buying Shell’s European renewables business — about 500 MW operating or under construction, mainly in Italy and the Netherlands, plus a 3.5 GW development pipeline across Italy, the UK and Spain. Closing is expected by end-2026, subject to regulatory approval. Shell exits; Total adds 4 GW.

Separately, TotalEnergies sold KKR 50% of a 1.2 GW onshore solar and wind portfolio in Germany, Spain, France and Poland at a €1.8B enterprise value, keeping half and continuing to operate it. One deal buys development risk, the other sells down finished assets — same balance sheet, same week. (Business Wire)

 
Power
1.2 GW — NRG finds a hyperscaler for Bring Your Own Power

NRG aligned on principal commercial terms with an unnamed global cloud and AI hyperscaler for a 1.2 GW combined-cycle gas plant in Texas, structured so the customer funds the generation rather than the existing ratepayer base. Site, term, price, capex, ownership and COD are all undisclosed.

The 415 MW T.H. Wharton unit reached commercial operation May 26, NRG’s first new build in nearly a decade, with a completion bonus up to $54.72M over ten annual installments. Texas Energy Fund projects add 1.5 GW by mid-2028. Q2 adjusted EBITDA was $1.217B on $1.025B of free cash flow before growth. (Business Wire)

 
Equipment
$3.8B / $95 — Prysmian buys the conduit around the cable

Prysmian will buy Atkore for $95 per share in cash, an enterprise value near $3.8B and a 23% premium to the 90-day VWAP — 9.8x FY2025 EBITDA, or 7.1x after roughly $150M of run-rate synergies targeted within three years.

Atkore did $2.85B of revenue and $386M of EBITDA in fiscal 2025 across conduit, cable management, armoring and framing. Prysmian already sells the cable; this buys the unglamorous hardware every data center and substation puts around it. Closing is targeted by year-end 2026. (Prysmian)

Quick Hits
David Harris takes over at NEQ Operating People
Quantum-backed NEQ named Devon’s former chief corporate development officer as CEO; Alan Smith stays executive chairman. Harris helped lead roughly $40B of Devon deals.
$5.7B / $4.1B — BP puts Archaea on the block Majors
Underlying replacement-cost profit hit $5.7B, and BP will sell Archaea, the biogas platform it bought for $4.1B in 2022. The dividend rose 4%.
$1.7B / 350 initiatives — Devon opens a post-Coterra portfolio review E&P
Ninety-four days after the Coterra close, Devon is screening the portfolio asset by asset for capital efficiency and strategic fit. Q2 oil hit 503,000 bbl/d.
$13B / 500 MWh — Base Power raises another $1B Power
The Series D values Base at $13B and takes total capital past $2.5B, led by Ribbit, Addition and Valor. The distributed fleet is above 500 MWh.
$934M / +158% — Powell’s orders nearly triple Grid
Fiscal Q3 orders hit $934M against $362M a year earlier, and backlog set a record $2.4B, up 69%.
Almost Headlines
19.2 mtpa — Coastal Bend LNG enters FERC pre-filing LNG
$19.1B / 1.5 Bcf/d — Energy Transfer raises guidance again as Hugh Brinson ramps Midstream
$2.3B / 24.5% — Cummins’ Power Systems rides data-center demand Equipment
$5.1B / $36.33 — Marathon Petroleum posts a record refining quarter Refining
$13.9B / -92.6% — Primoris’ renewables overruns swamp a record backlog Engineering
>$1B — Exelon makes large load commit transmission revenue before the build Utilities
188,000 bbl/d — OPEC+ makes the September increase official Crude
The Reading List
WSJ10 MW — Caterpillar races to build generators for data centers
FTCoal back in favour as a US plant bidding war highlights AI demand
Reuters$126.41 — War-fueled oil rally set to lift shale profits to a 2022 high
WSJHow to play the flood of AI bonds
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