August 12, 2026
 
WTI (Sep) $83.20 ▲1.30% · NG (Sep) $2.767 ▼0.97% · RIGS 588 · S&P 7,728.20 ▼0.32% · XOP $178.37 ▲1.39%
August 11 close · Gas = Henry Hub Sep 2026 · Rigs = Baker Hughes (week ending August 7, 2026)
$9.1B
Rockdale’s next tenant is a frontier AI lab, through 2048.
The Meme
The Report
New from Sunya Research
21.11 Bcf/d on paper. 4.89 Bcf/d that actually pencils.
We catalogued every disclosed gas-to-AI deal in one ledger — 56 transactions across 17 months — then did the math the press releases skipped. The boom looks Texan in the headlines. It looks Appalachian in the contracts.
Open the tracker →
Today’s Menu
$9.1B / 191 MW — Riot leases Rockdale to a frontier AI lab for twenty years
$5.0B / 230 Mbbl/d — Three partners sanction a pipeline from Borger to Phoenix
470 MW — Anthropic orders the power two years before it needs the building
$500B+ — NVIDIA turns compute into an asset class six firms will finance
$6.5B / 222 MW — Fermi’s 17 GW private grid finally has a paying tenant
Lead Story
$9.1B / 191 MW — Riot’s bitcoin campus finds a better tenant

Riot signed a 20-year lease with an unnamed leading frontier AI lab for 191 MW of critical IT capacity at Rockdale, Texas, running through June 2048 and worth some $9.1B. Two five-year extensions would take it to roughly $16.1B. Cumulative NOI runs $7.3B–$8.2B, or $365M–$411M a year.

First 96 IT MW land December 2027, the full 191 by June 2028, on approved interconnection. Morgan Stanley is funding $573M of interim development cost while the investment-grade backstop is finalized. With January’s AMD lease, Riot has contracted 241 MW and $9.8B in just over six months — against $23.2M of Q2 data-center revenue.

The Headlines
Midstream
$5.0B / 230 Mbbl/d — Western Gateway takes FID

Phillips 66, Kinder Morgan and HF Sinclair sanctioned the 1,300-mile refined-products system Aug. 11, split 49.9%, 35.1% and 15.0%. The core is some 900 miles of new 20- and 24-inch pipe from Borger, Texas, to Phoenix, at up to 230,000 bbl/d.

Enterprise value is about $5.0B: $2.5B of cash from Phillips 66, $750M from HF Sinclair, $250M plus $1.5B of assets from Kinder Morgan, whose SFPP West Line reverses toward California. Primarily 10-year take-or-pay, targeting 2029.

 
Power
470 MW — Anthropic buys the generators first

ERock booked a 470 MW equipment order from Anthropic that fills production slots into 2028. Backlog hit some $1.7B, up from $1.3B in Q1 and roughly 10x year over year. Order value, sites and cadence were withheld; that $1.7B is companywide, not Anthropic’s ticket.

The constraint is the factory, not the customer. Q2 revenue fell to $39.9M from $68.5M, adjusted EBITDA was negative $14.0M, and 2026 guidance is $435M–$465M of revenue on $3M–$9M of EBITDA. ERock broke ground on 366 MW at El Paso Electric for Meta.

 
Finance
$500B+ — NVIDIA makes compute an asset class

NVIDIA signed MOUs with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR to stand up independent platforms meant to mobilize more than $500B of third-party capital, funding capacity for frontier labs and AI clouds on long-duration, usage-linked terms.

This is not NVIDIA committing $500B, and it is not one fund. The partnerships still need final agreements; commitments, structures, leverage, megawatts and schedules are undisclosed. Financing solves the compute bill. It does not build substations any faster.

 
Data Centers
$6.5B / 222 MW — Fermi signs Matador’s first tenant

Fermi’s first binding lease at Project Matador goes to TensorWave, an AMD-GPU-based AI cloud, for 222 MW of total facility power at final delivery. The initial 15-year term should generate some $6.5B, with two five-year renewals and phased delivery from 2H27.

Expansion rights on two more data centers could take it past 650 MW. Fermi says roughly 6 GW of the planned 17 GW campus is permitted, more than $1.5B is invested and first power is still targeted for 2026. The lease still needs project guaranties and financing.

Quick Hits
$13.2B / $8.2B — ADNOC Gas sanctions the rich-gas buildout Gas
FID plus $8.2B of EPC awards for phases two and three — $3.9B to Wison at Habshan, $4.3B to Tecnimont for a Ruwais NGL train — take the program to $13.2B committed. Q2 net income of $665M beat the $400M–$600M guide. Capacity and dates undisclosed.
Update — 6% from 14% — EIA cuts the 2027 Texas load forecast Policy
Following last Wednesday’s lead: the August STEO sees Texas load growing 6% in 2027 against 14% in July’s, naming the governor’s Aug. 3 pause on new data centers. Eight points off a state forecast is the first read on how fast queue policy hits gas demand.
$8.7B–$9.1B / 127 cargos — Venture Global raises the LNG guide again LNG
The 2026 adjusted EBITDA range moves up to $8.7B–$9.1B from $8.2B–$8.5B after a quarter with $4.6B of revenue and 127 cargos exported. Venture Global has 91% of available 2026 cargos contracted and tightened full-year exports to 500–518.
Update — $2.0B / 1.25 GW — Energy Vault’s backlog jumps $650M Storage
Reported backlog reached some $2.0B, up 47% sequentially and 107% year over year, and the 1.25 GW Texas hyperscaler deal should book $500M–$600M across 2H26 and 2027. Revenue guidance rose to $270M–$310M; only about 40% converts inside 18 months.
$78.2M / 50,000 acres — EagleRock buys the ranch next door, twice Land
The Lea County, New Mexico package adds some 22,000 fee acres — a 60% lift to EagleRock’s fee position there — plus water rights, disposal wells and permitted sand mines. Intrepid Potash sold substantially the same ranch for $70M on April 2, an $8.2M step-up in 130 days.
Almost Headlines
460 MW / $1,700 per kW — Hallador cuts the Turtle Creek budget below $800M Power
1,000 MW / $673.8M — HD Hyundai lands its largest power-engine order Equipment
$63M / 2,000 miles — California Resources buys Crimson Midstream at 4.4x Midstream
40 Mbbl/d / 15% — Sable lifts output 149% and pays 15% for it E&P
$1.75B / Aug 13 — Duke Energy prices 35 million equity units Utilities
€1.306B — Cadeler closes Menck and orders two T-class vessels Offshore Wind
C$2.4B / 1,022 MW — Northland adds C$0.9B of Hai Long construction funding Offshore Wind
The Reading List
Reuters$195 — Virginia’s data centers push Dominion into the wholesale market
WSJThe real oil squeeze is happening in refineries
FTAI may boost oil and gas production more than green energy
Axios34 versus 3 — UT’s line sensors catch what conventional monitoring misses
Sunya Stories

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