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The Headlines
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Capital Markets
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3 IPOs — Public markets price the AI load buildout across geothermal, Permian land, and data-center real estate
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• Fervo priced 70M shares at $27 (raising $1.89B, with a 10.5M-share greenshoe) and opened at $36 (+33%) Wednesday for a ~$10.21B implied valuation — up from the $7.66B pricing covered in May 12’s “Fast-Power Bid” and the S-1 in Apr 21’s “The Firm Power IPO” — backed by ~$7.2B of contracted revenue backlog and commercial agreements with Southern California Edison, Shell, and Alphabet. EagleRock (NYSE/NYSE Texas: EROK) priced 17.3M shares at $18.50 for ~$320M gross / $286.6M net; the Houston land manager controls ~236,000 acres across the Permian’s Delaware and Midland sub-basins with a pivot toward power, data centers, renewables, and CCUS siting. Goldman, Barclays, and J.P. Morgan led EROK (EagleRock IR).
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• Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust sold 87.5M shares at $20 to raise $1.75B (with a 30-day option that could lift the deal to $2B) for an externally managed REIT targeting newly built data centers leased to investment-grade hyperscale tenants on long-term contracts; Blackstone has reviewed ~$25B of near-term opportunities. Three energy/infra IPOs in one cycle — 24/7 clean power, Permian surface rights, and data-center real estate — means the public market is now willing to price the AI load buildout across the full stack (Blackstone IR).
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Power / Policy
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C$1T — Canada’s grid plan puts AI load on the federal balance sheet
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• PM Mark Carney rolled out “Powering Canada Strong,” a C$1T national strategy to double electricity-grid capacity by 2050 — built on four pillars (infrastructure, east-west interties, skilled trades, domestic manufacturing) and projecting a workforce need of 130,000+ high-skilled workers by 2050. Ottawa will revise clean-electricity rules to give existing gas units more flexibility, citing rising AI, EV, and industrial demand against a generation base that has actually fallen on drought-hit hydro and coal retirements.
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• Carney said gas will play a complementary role but future investment will be dominated by hydro, nuclear, and renewables — the same AI power crunch hitting PJM, ERCOT, and the Southeast is now reshaping federal grid policy north of the border.
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Oil / Macro
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14 MMbbl/d — IEA flips its 2026 oil call into a deficit
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• IEA’s May Oil Market Report sees 2026 supply falling 3.9 MMbbl/d, leaving demand 1.78 MMbbl/d above supply — a hard reversal from last month’s surplus call and a deeper version of the flip first flagged in Apr 14’s “Time to Power” — with more than 14 MMbbl/d shut in and cumulative Gulf-producer losses above 1B bbl. Q2 demand contracts 2.45 MMbbl/d y/y, refinery throughputs plunge 4.5 MMbbl/d, and inventories were drawn 246 MMbbl across March-April.
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• About 164 MMbbl of the broader 400 MMbbl IEA-coordinated reserve release has moved into the market — meaning higher prices are now rationing demand while still failing to erase the supply gap.
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