
| April 9, 2026 | |
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| WTI (May) $97.87 ▲3.7% · NG (May) $2.670 ▼2.0% · RIGS 548 ▲5 · S&P 6,824.66 ▲0.6% · XOP $167.76 ▼2.29% | |
| April 9 close · Gas = Henry Hub May 2026 · Rigs = Baker Hughes (week ending April 2, 2026) |
| $2.2B |
| Chevron says higher oil prices could add up to $2.2B to Q1 upstream earnings |

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Somewhere this week, a billion-dollar development decision will get approved off four scenarios in a spreadsheet. That’s not going to hold. |
| READ THE RESEARCH → |
| Today’s Menu | ||||||
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| Lead Story |
| Chevron says higher oil prices could add up to $2.2B to Q1 upstream earnings |
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Oil did the heavy lifting. The rest of the quarter still needs explaining. |
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• Upstream commodity prices should add $1.6B–$2.2B after tax to Q1 earnings versus Q4 2025. The offset: timing effects expected to cut earnings and CFO ex-working capital by $2.7B–$3.7B after tax, plus a $2B–$4B working-capital outflow. |
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• Production expected at 3.8–3.9 MMboe/d, with downtime at Tengizchevroil and reduced output in Israel and the Partitioned Zone. Downstream absorbs a $350M–$400M litigation reserve. |
| The Headlines |
| Nuclear / Policy |
| New Jersey reopens the door to new nuclear |
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• Governor Mikie Sherrill signed legislation April 8 removing a permitting barrier that blocked new nuclear for decades. The new standard lets the DEP approve safe storage consistent with NRC rules. |
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• Salem and Hope Creek generate 40%+ of New Jersey electricity and ~80% of its pollution-free power. A 2020 Brattle analysis pegged consumer savings at $400M+/year. Sherrill also launched a Nuclear Task Force. |
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| Grid / Transmission |
| CAISO maps $7B in transmission upgrades for electrification and data centers |
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• The draft 2025–2026 Transmission Plan recommends 38 projects over the next decade, citing building electrification, transportation electrification, manufacturing, and data centers as drivers. |
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• Twelve recommendations use reconductoring or grid-enhancing technologies, including three with advanced conductors. Stakeholder call set for April 15. |
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| Midstream / M&A |
| Abu Dhabi’s 2PointZero buys Traverse Midstream for $2.25B |
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• Subsidiary ePointZero is taking 100% of Traverse from Energy and Minerals Group, gaining minority stakes in the Rover Pipeline and Ohio River System — key transport for Marcellus/Utica gas to the Midwest, Gulf Coast, and eastern Canada. |
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• 2PointZero was formed in October 2025 via merger with $33B in combined assets. Deal subject to regulatory clearance. |
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| AI + Power / Gas Generation |
| Rehlko locks up 1.25 GW of gas-engine capacity for data centers |
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• Framework with INNIO expands an existing 700 MW firm reservation to 1.25 GW over three years, with a significant portion aimed at hyperscale, colocation, and enterprise data-center operators. |
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• Delivery through Clarke Energy; combined installed base exceeds 10 GW. |
| Quick Hits | |||||
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| The Reading List | |||
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| Sunya Stories | |
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| Full Archive on Spotify → |
| In Case You Missed It | |||
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Disclaimer: Not financial advice. This newsletter is for education + entertainment — not a recommendation or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. Do your own research and make your own calls (and talk to a pro when it matters).
