April 9, 2026
 
WTI (May) $97.87 ▲3.7% · NG (May) $2.670 ▼2.0% · RIGS 548 ▲5 · S&P 6,824.66 ▲0.6% · XOP $167.76 ▼2.29%
April 9 close · Gas = Henry Hub May 2026 · Rigs = Baker Hughes (week ending April 2, 2026)
$2.2B
Chevron says higher oil prices could add up to $2.2B to Q1 upstream earnings
The Meme
The Report

Somewhere this week, a billion-dollar development decision will get approved off four scenarios in a spreadsheet. That’s not going to hold.

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Today’s Menu
$1.6B–$2.2B — Chevron says higher commodity prices could lift Q1 upstream earnings, but timing effects and working capital move the other way
80% — New Jersey removed a decades-old nuclear permitting barrier while Salem and Hope Creek still supply ~80% of the state’s pollution-free power
$7B / 38 projects — CAISO’s draft transmission plan calls for a decade of upgrades, citing electrification, manufacturing, and data-center load
$2.25B — Abu Dhabi’s 2PointZero buys Traverse Midstream, gaining Rover Pipeline and Ohio River System assets
1.25 GW — Rehlko and INNIO reserve gas-engine capacity for data centers and flexible generation
$800M / 5 years — Fervo and Vallourec lock in domestic geothermal tubulars
Lead Story
Chevron says higher oil prices could add up to $2.2B to Q1 upstream earnings

Oil did the heavy lifting. The rest of the quarter still needs explaining.

Upstream commodity prices should add $1.6B–$2.2B after tax to Q1 earnings versus Q4 2025. The offset: timing effects expected to cut earnings and CFO ex-working capital by $2.7B–$3.7B after tax, plus a $2B–$4B working-capital outflow.

Production expected at 3.8–3.9 MMboe/d, with downtime at Tengizchevroil and reduced output in Israel and the Partitioned Zone. Downstream absorbs a $350M–$400M litigation reserve.

The Headlines
Nuclear / Policy
New Jersey reopens the door to new nuclear

Governor Mikie Sherrill signed legislation April 8 removing a permitting barrier that blocked new nuclear for decades. The new standard lets the DEP approve safe storage consistent with NRC rules.

Salem and Hope Creek generate 40%+ of New Jersey electricity and ~80% of its pollution-free power. A 2020 Brattle analysis pegged consumer savings at $400M+/year. Sherrill also launched a Nuclear Task Force.

 
Grid / Transmission
CAISO maps $7B in transmission upgrades for electrification and data centers

The draft 2025–2026 Transmission Plan recommends 38 projects over the next decade, citing building electrification, transportation electrification, manufacturing, and data centers as drivers.

Twelve recommendations use reconductoring or grid-enhancing technologies, including three with advanced conductors. Stakeholder call set for April 15.

 
Midstream / M&A
Abu Dhabi’s 2PointZero buys Traverse Midstream for $2.25B

Subsidiary ePointZero is taking 100% of Traverse from Energy and Minerals Group, gaining minority stakes in the Rover Pipeline and Ohio River System — key transport for Marcellus/Utica gas to the Midwest, Gulf Coast, and eastern Canada.

2PointZero was formed in October 2025 via merger with $33B in combined assets. Deal subject to regulatory clearance.

 
AI + Power / Gas Generation
Rehlko locks up 1.25 GW of gas-engine capacity for data centers

Framework with INNIO expands an existing 700 MW firm reservation to 1.25 GW over three years, with a significant portion aimed at hyperscale, colocation, and enterprise data-center operators.

Delivery through Clarke Energy; combined installed base exceeds 10 GW.

Quick Hits
$800M / 5 years — Fervo and Vallourec lock in domestic geothermal tubulars Geothermal
Vallourec becomes Fervo’s exclusive U.S.-made tubular supplier for standardized 50 MW GeoBlocks.
$30M / 370,000 sq. ft. — Eaton adds U.S. switchgear capacity in Nebraska Grid Equipment
Production expected 2027, 200+ jobs, medium-voltage switchgear for utilities, industry, and data centers.
850 MW / >$180M EBITDA — Energy Vault buys into Japan storage Storage
Acquiring 850 MW BESS pipeline including 350 MW advanced-stage; owned assets now top 1 GW.
880–920 kboe/d — Shell trims gas output outlook, keeps trading tone firm Oil & Gas
Q1 Integrated Gas at 880–920 kboe/d, LNG at 7.6–8.0 mt, refining margin at $17/bbl.
320 MW — Fluor starts FEL-2 on X-energy’s Seadrift SMR project Nuclear / SMR
Front-end work for four 80 MW reactors at Dow’s Seadrift site — first grid-scale advanced nuclear at an industrial facility in North America.
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