
| May 19, 2026 | |
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| WTI (Jun) $107.77 ▼0.82% · NG (Jun) $3.114 ▲3.00% · RIGS 551 ▲3 · S&P 7,353.61 ▼0.70% · XOP $178.56 ▲1.30% | |
| May 19 close · Gas = Henry Hub Jun 2026 · Rigs = Baker Hughes (week ending May 15, 2026) |
| 130 GW |
| NextEra and Dominion just made utility M&A about AI load |

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| Today’s Menu | ||||||||
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| Lead Story |
| 130 GW — NextEra buys Dominion into the AI load queue |
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• $66.8B all-stock — the largest U.S. electric utility deal ever. Dominion holders get 0.8138 NEE shares per D share plus a one-time $360M cash payment at close. Pro forma: 74.5% NEE / 25.5% Dominion. |
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• The combine creates the world’s largest regulated electric utility by market cap: ~10M customer accounts across FL/VA/NC/SC, ~110 GW of generation, $138B combined rate base growing ~11%/yr through 2032. |
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• The tell is load. 130+ GW large-load pipeline, anchored by data-center-heavy territories. AI exposure isn’t a slide in the IR deck anymore — it’s the deal thesis. |
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• Concessions to clear the regulatory bar: $2.25B in bill credits to Dominion customers in VA/NC/SC over two years post-close, plus $10M/yr of charitable giving and retention commitments for ~15,000 employees. |
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• John Ketchum stays as chairman/CEO; Dominion’s Robert Blue runs regulated utilities and joins the board. Approval stack: HSR, FERC, NRC, plus VA/NC/SC PUCs. Close 12–18 months out. |
| The Headlines |
| LNG / FID |
| $21.25B — Caturus takes Commonwealth LNG to FID |
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• FID on Commonwealth LNG, a 9.5 mtpa Gulf Coast export facility in Cameron Parish. $9.75B of project financing closed, total capital commitments to $21.25B. Phase One ops 2030; >$3B annual run-rate revenue. |
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• Five-name offtake stack — EQT, Glencore, Mercuria, PETRONAS, Aramco Trading. Sponsors: CPP $1.2B / 31%, Mubadala 24.1%. EPC by Technip with Baker Hughes LM9000s. Wellhead-to-water turned into steel. |
| Transmission / Awards |
| $1.66B / 237 miles — MISO picks a 765-kV backbone team |
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• MISO awarded two LRTP Tranche 2.1 projects to an Ameren ATXI / NextEra GridLiance / Dairyland / IMEA consortium. STIW: 149 mi of 765-kV, $940M. WIIL: 88 mi plus a new 765/345-kV substation, $718M. Ownership across both: 43 / 43 / 11 / 3. |
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• In-service 2034. The Midwest grid is moving from incremental upgrades to extra-high-voltage backbone. AI load gets the headlines; transmission gets the bill. |
| Nuclear / Regulatory |
| 320 MWe — Dow and X-energy clear NRC environmental review at Seadrift |
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• NRC issued a Finding of No Significant Impact for Dow / X-energy’s Long Mott Generating Station at Seadrift, TX — a four-module Xe-100 at 800 MWth / 320 MWe, supplying power and high-temperature steam to Dow’s UCC Seadrift Operations (4B lb/yr of materials production). |
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• First U.S. commercial advanced-reactor project to complete NEPA via the Environmental Assessment pathway vs. a full EIS — reviewed in under a year. Caveat: this is a regulatory milestone, not a construction permit or FID. |
| Midstream / FID |
| 300 MMcf/d — Kinetik upsizes Kings Landing II |
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• Kinetik FID on Kings Landing II, a 300 MMcf/d gas processing plant in New Mexico — 50% larger than the originally contemplated 200 MMcf/d. Project cost ~$260M, in-service 2H 2028; 2026 capex lands at the top end of the $450–510M range. |
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• Post-completion, system-wide capacity exceeds 2.7 Bcf/d, with >700 MMcf/d of sour-gas processing in northern Eddy and Lea Counties. The northern Delaware sour-gas buildout just got bigger. |
| Quick Hits | ||||||||
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| Almost Headlines |
| Sunya Stories | |
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| Full Archive on Spotify → |
| In Case You Missed It | |||
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Disclaimer: Not financial advice. This newsletter is for education + entertainment — not a recommendation or a solicitation to buy or sell anything. Do your own research and make your own calls (and talk to a pro when it matters).
